While we have our own House and Senate model, which currently give the Democrats an 80.13% chance of winning the former with 224 seats, and the Republicans an 84.77% chance of retaining the latter with 51 seats, it's always good to get a second, third, and nth opinion. So here is every public model's current assessment of both chambers along with projected seat counts where … [Read more...] about Forecaster and model assessments of the House and Senate
US House
DDHQ Election Returns For Arizona, Florida, And Oklahoma
If you’re looking for DDHQ results for tonight in Florida, Oklahoma, and Arizona you’ve come to the right place…mostly. Instead of our top line embeds for key races, we’ll have all the races by county, with maps(!) on our Results page. If you haven’t already signed up for your free account, you’ll just need a minute or so to do so and you’ll be set. While you’re waiting … [Read more...] about DDHQ Election Returns For Arizona, Florida, And Oklahoma
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 27, 2018
As we approach the 2-month mark until Election Day 2018, the Øptimus Model remains steady at the aggregate levels for both the House and Senate. Republicans remain the strong favorites to retain control of the Senate, while Democrats are favored to take the House. With 7 Senate races in toss-up or lean territory, and the House even less solidified, the opportunity for … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 27, 2018
House District Spotlight: Iowa-1
It's become cliche to talk about the role of midwestern whites in elevating Donald Trump to the White House. But if you were looking for a Ground Zero in midwestern whites' abandonment of the Democratic Party, you could do much worse than Iowa's first congressional district. This district - containing the mid-sized cities of Cedar Rapids, Waterloo, and Dubuque - is 93% … [Read more...] about House District Spotlight: Iowa-1
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 20, 2018
It's 79 days til election day and here is your Øptimus legislative model update. With less than 80 days left to go until Election Day, the general setup for the House and Senate continues to take form, with the House increasingly likely to change hands while the Senate remains favorable for Republicans. While there is still time left for this dynamic to significantly change, … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 20, 2018