Less than a month ago, President Biden took part in the earliest Presidential general election debate in American history. Now, as a result of his poor performance in that debate, Biden was forced to drop out of the race. There are few historical precedents for an incumbent President dropping out this late in the game. […]
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A Notice from Decision Desk HQ on our Forecast Models:
Given the unprecedented decision by President Biden to withdraw from the presidential race at this late date, Decision Desk HQ is temporarily freezing our Presidential, Senate, and House forecast models. The reason for freezing our Presidential model is clear: Democrats have no candidate with the bound delegates needed to win the nomination. If a presumptive […]
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An Early Look At How 150 Million Votes Could Be Cast in the 2024 Election
Election Day in America is always the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November every four years. Generations ago, nearly all Americans cast their presidential ballots on the day of the election, but today, Election Day means Election Season. The propensity of Americans to cast their ballot through the mail and during an early […]
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Trump Picks Vance for VP Nominee: The Latest Twist in This Historically Chaotic Election
What a difference a few weeks can make! On the eve of the debate, we wondered whether anything could happen to truly shake this race up. Since then, of course, all hell’s practically broken loose. Vance Wins the Veepstakes Let’s start with the latest news first: on Monday afternoon Donald Trump announced Ohio Senator J.D. […]
The Most Important Night of the 2024 Campaign: Examining the Background, Format and Stakes of the June 27th Presidential Debate
All of a sudden, the first 2024 Presidential debate is nearly upon us. Our earliest ever debate is coming at a time when this race is approaching an inflection point, with our own Decision Desk/The Hill average, the FiveThirtyEight average and the RealClearPolitics average all showing Trump ahead by less than a single point. Additionally, […]
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