In light of Joe Biden getting pushed out of the race after his disastrous June debate performance, the age-old question of ‘Do debates actually matter?’ seems to now have an affirmative answer. Instead the more pertinent question is what effect last week’s debate will have on the race, and some post-debate polls are already shedding some light on this. So far, the … [Read more...] about The Post-Debate State of the Race: Where The Candidates Stand in the Polls and the Swing States
Race Update
The New Electoral College Map: How Harris and Trump Are Planning to Get to 270
The conventions are over, September’s nearly here and the first – well, technically second – debate is looming. Therefore, it’s the perfect time to examine the new Electoral College landscape and both campaigns’ strategies to get to 270 electoral votes. A rough consensus has emerged that there are currently seven toss-up states: Pennsylvania (19 Electoral Votes); Georgia … [Read more...] about The New Electoral College Map: How Harris and Trump Are Planning to Get to 270
Gubernatorial Update: Examining the Toss-Up Races in New Hampshire and North Carolina
After a month and a half of madness, we’re finally taking a (relative) breather in the Presidential race ahead of next week’s Democratic National Convention. Therefore, it’s the perfect time to check in on the too-often neglected Gubernatorial map. It’s been over nine months since we last checked in on the Governor’s races, yet on the surface not much has changed: We’ve … [Read more...] about Gubernatorial Update: Examining the Toss-Up Races in New Hampshire and North Carolina
Trump Picks Vance for VP Nominee: The Latest Twist in This Historically Chaotic Election
What a difference a few weeks can make! On the eve of the debate, we wondered whether anything could happen to truly shake this race up. Since then, of course, all hell’s practically broken loose. Vance Wins the Veepstakes Let’s start with the latest news first: on Monday afternoon Donald Trump announced Ohio Senator J.D. Vance as his Vice Presidential nominee. The … [Read more...] about Trump Picks Vance for VP Nominee: The Latest Twist in This Historically Chaotic Election
Diving Into Tuesday’s Results: Dems Over-Perform in Ohio 6th Special, While Nancy Mace Prevails Over Primary Challenge
Another special Congressional election yields yet another Democratic overperformance. Let’s run through the results of Tuesday’s special Congressional election, as well as the day’s other consequential primary contests. Ohio While Republican candidate Michael Rulli won Tuesday’s race in Ohio’s 6th Congressional District, his margin was far behind the 35 points that … [Read more...] about Diving Into Tuesday’s Results: Dems Over-Perform in Ohio 6th Special, While Nancy Mace Prevails Over Primary Challenge