Decision Desk HQ

Elections Returns, Analysis and Projections

Tammy Baldwin

Senate Map Update: Dems Look to Florida and Texas as Montana Hopes Fade

by

We’re just about a month away from Election Night, and the Senate battleground is still shifting. Right now, I see nine competitive races, in a Senate that outside of those contests stands at 48 Republicans and 43 Democrats. As a result, the GOP’s got the inside track on gaining the majority, needing to win just two or three of these nine elections (depending on which party … [Read more...] about Senate Map Update: Dems Look to Florida and Texas as Montana Hopes Fade

Senate Map Update: Even After Presidential Shake-Up, GOP Retains Advantage

by

We’ve undergone a month of chaos in the 2024 Presidential election, but the fundamentals of the 2024 Senate remain tough to shake. Of the 33 Senate seats up for grabs, only 11 are represented by Republicans while 22 belong to Democrats or Democratic-aligned Independents. Since Democrats are widely expected to lose the open seat in West Virginia being vacated by Joe Manchin, … [Read more...] about Senate Map Update: Even After Presidential Shake-Up, GOP Retains Advantage

2024 Senate Map Update: Dems Confront Formidable Landscape

by

It’s been six months since my last in-depth look at the Senate landscape, so it’s well past time for an update. At this point, most political observers put 24 of the 34 seats up for grabs in either the Safe Democratic or Safe Republican category. Among those safely red seats would be one flipped Democratic seat in West Virginia, where Joe Manchin is retiring. Consequently, … [Read more...] about 2024 Senate Map Update: Dems Confront Formidable Landscape

2024 Senate Outlook: Manchin’s Exit & The New Big Four

by

Now that Election Night 2023 is in the books, it’s the perfect time to shift our focus ahead to the 2024 elections. Much has changed since we last took a look at the 2024 Senate map in May, so that’s a great place to start. In fact, just last week we saw a massive development that will fundamentally alter the electoral math. On Thursday, West Virginia Democratic Sen. Joe … [Read more...] about 2024 Senate Outlook: Manchin’s Exit & The New Big Four