Welcome to October and this Presidential campaign’s latest lull of uncertainty. At this moment, we’re less than two weeks out and all seven swing states look to be within the margin of error. It’s at times like these when people who spend far too much of their lives thinking about politics – let’s face it, people like myself – ponder the various paradoxes in the polling. … [Read more...] about Thoughts On The Ticket-Splitting Mystery
An Overview of The 2024 Battle for the House Majority
You can’t steal a glance at a computer, phone or television right now without seeing someone call this November’s Presidential race “the closest election of our lifetimes”. Yet it might not even be the closest election of this cycle. While the Presidential contest is understandably dominating the headlines, the battle for the next House majority may well prove to be the … [Read more...] about An Overview of The 2024 Battle for the House Majority
Senate Map Update: Dems Look to Florida and Texas as Montana Hopes Fade
We’re just about a month away from Election Night, and the Senate battleground is still shifting. Right now, I see nine competitive races, in a Senate that outside of those contests stands at 48 Republicans and 43 Democrats. As a result, the GOP’s got the inside track on gaining the majority, needing to win just two or three of these nine elections (depending on which party … [Read more...] about Senate Map Update: Dems Look to Florida and Texas as Montana Hopes Fade
#2 vs. #2: A History of Vice Presidential Debates
On October 1st, we’ll experience our 12th ever Vice Presidential debate when Ohio Senator J.D. Vance meets Minnesota Governor Tim Walz in New York City. While VP debates are a frequent object of ridicule, history shows they draw a sizable TV audience; and thus have an appreciable effect not only on the rest of the campaign, but also on how voters view those candidates … [Read more...] about #2 vs. #2: A History of Vice Presidential Debates
The Post-Debate State of the Race: Where The Candidates Stand in the Polls and the Swing States
In light of Joe Biden getting pushed out of the race after his disastrous June debate performance, the age-old question of ‘Do debates actually matter?’ seems to now have an affirmative answer. Instead the more pertinent question is what effect last week’s debate will have on the race, and some post-debate polls are already shedding some light on this. So far, the … [Read more...] about The Post-Debate State of the Race: Where The Candidates Stand in the Polls and the Swing States