Welcome to October and this Presidential campaign’s latest lull of uncertainty. At this moment, we’re less than two weeks out and all seven swing states look to be within the margin of error. It’s at times like these when people who spend far too much of their lives thinking about politics – let’s face it, people like myself – ponder the various paradoxes in the polling. … [Read more...] about Thoughts On The Ticket-Splitting Mystery
PENNSYLVANIA
An Overview of The 2024 Battle for the House Majority
You can’t steal a glance at a computer, phone or television right now without seeing someone call this November’s Presidential race “the closest election of our lifetimes”. Yet it might not even be the closest election of this cycle. While the Presidential contest is understandably dominating the headlines, the battle for the next House majority may well prove to be the … [Read more...] about An Overview of The 2024 Battle for the House Majority
The Post-Debate State of the Race: Where The Candidates Stand in the Polls and the Swing States
In light of Joe Biden getting pushed out of the race after his disastrous June debate performance, the age-old question of ‘Do debates actually matter?’ seems to now have an affirmative answer. Instead the more pertinent question is what effect last week’s debate will have on the race, and some post-debate polls are already shedding some light on this. So far, the … [Read more...] about The Post-Debate State of the Race: Where The Candidates Stand in the Polls and the Swing States
The New Electoral College Map: How Harris and Trump Are Planning to Get to 270
The conventions are over, September’s nearly here and the first – well, technically second – debate is looming. Therefore, it’s the perfect time to examine the new Electoral College landscape and both campaigns’ strategies to get to 270 electoral votes. A rough consensus has emerged that there are currently seven toss-up states: Pennsylvania (19 Electoral Votes); Georgia … [Read more...] about The New Electoral College Map: How Harris and Trump Are Planning to Get to 270
2024 Senate Map Update: Dems Confront Formidable Landscape
It’s been six months since my last in-depth look at the Senate landscape, so it’s well past time for an update. At this point, most political observers put 24 of the 34 seats up for grabs in either the Safe Democratic or Safe Republican category. Among those safely red seats would be one flipped Democratic seat in West Virginia, where Joe Manchin is retiring. Consequently, … [Read more...] about 2024 Senate Map Update: Dems Confront Formidable Landscape