Decision Desk HQ

Elections Returns, Analysis and Projections

Maryland Senate

Money vs Endorsements: A Final Preview of the Maryland Senate Democratic Primary

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The deep blue state of Maryland is the unlikely site of May’s most critical primary contest in the battle for control of the Senate.  On May 14th, Congressman David Trone and Prince George County Executive Angela Alsobrooks will compete for the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s open Senate race. The winner will advance to a general election match-up with popular Republican … [Read more...] about Money vs Endorsements: A Final Preview of the Maryland Senate Democratic Primary

Dems Hold New York Congressional Seat in Special Election, Narrowing GOP’s House Majority

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We had another New York Special House Election last night, although this one wasn’t quite as exciting as February’s contest. Previously, New York Democrats managed to flip disgraced Republican former Congresswoman George Santos’ seat and got a small measure of revenge in the state that powered the GOP to the House majority in 2022.  This time, though, Dems were merely … [Read more...] about Dems Hold New York Congressional Seat in Special Election, Narrowing GOP’s House Majority

2024 Senate Outlook: Manchin’s Exit & The New Big Four

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Now that Election Night 2023 is in the books, it’s the perfect time to shift our focus ahead to the 2024 elections. Much has changed since we last took a look at the 2024 Senate map in May, so that’s a great place to start. In fact, just last week we saw a massive development that will fundamentally alter the electoral math. On Thursday, West Virginia Democratic Sen. Joe … [Read more...] about 2024 Senate Outlook: Manchin’s Exit & The New Big Four

2024 Senate Map Update: Mitch McConnell’s Surprising Assessment of the Battle for the Majority

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Now that Memorial Day is here and summer’s just around the corner, it’s a great time to check back in on the 2024 Senate map. If you recall, Republicans possess an advantage this cycle as they only have to defend 11 seats, while the Democrats are tasked with protecting 20 seats. On top of that, Democrats must defend three seats in states where Donald Trump won in 2016 and … [Read more...] about 2024 Senate Map Update: Mitch McConnell’s Surprising Assessment of the Battle for the Majority