Decision Desk HQ projects that former President Donald Trump has won Pennsylvania and its 19 electoral votes, enough to elect him as the 47th President of the United States. How we made this race call: We deeply value information-sharing and transparency so the public knows they can trust our results. At the time of this […]
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Decision Desk HQ Election Night Live Model Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
The Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) team recently published an article in the Harvard Data Science Review that provides an in-depth look at their new Live Primary Model, a real-time tool for predicting primary election results. We are excited to release publicly the DDHQ Live Election Night Pulse this next Tuesday, which is a descendent of […]
Will Pivot Away From the Economy Cost Trump And Harris?
The voters have been clear for years now, the economy – specifically high prices caused by inflation – is their #1 concern. You may well remember that this was also the case during the 2022 midterms, yet that fall Republicans nevertheless pivoted their messaging from inflation to crime. I noted right after those results came […]
Thoughts On The Ticket-Splitting Mystery
Welcome to October and this Presidential campaign’s latest lull of uncertainty. At this moment, we’re less than two weeks out and all seven swing states look to be within the margin of error. It’s at times like these when people who spend far too much of their lives thinking about politics – let’s face it, […]
An Overview of The 2024 Battle for the House Majority
You can’t steal a glance at a computer, phone or television right now without seeing someone call this November’s Presidential race “the closest election of our lifetimes”. Yet it might not even be the closest election of this cycle. While the Presidential contest is understandably dominating the headlines, the battle for the next House majority […]