Decision Desk HQ projects that former President Donald Trump has won Pennsylvania and its 19 electoral votes, enough to elect him as the 47th President of the United States. How we made this race call: We deeply value information-sharing and transparency so the public knows they can trust our results. At the time of this race call, 93% of the vote in Pennsylvania was in … [Read more...] about Decision Desk HQ’s Statement on Our Pennsylvania Race Call
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Decision Desk HQ Election Night Live Model Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
The Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) team recently published an article in the Harvard Data Science Review that provides an in-depth look at their new Live Primary Model, a real-time tool for predicting primary election results. We are excited to release publicly the DDHQ Live Election Night Pulse this next Tuesday, which is a descendent of this model. This model is unique in its … [Read more...] about Decision Desk HQ Election Night Live Model Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
A Notice from Decision Desk HQ on our Forecast Models:
Given the unprecedented decision by President Biden to withdraw from the presidential race at this late date, Decision Desk HQ is temporarily freezing our Presidential, Senate, and House forecast models. The reason for freezing our Presidential model is clear: Democrats have no candidate with the bound delegates needed to win the nomination. If a presumptive nominee emerges … [Read more...] about A Notice from Decision Desk HQ on our Forecast Models:
Presidential Protest Votes Dwindle As GOP Scores A Pair of Ballot Initiative Victories in Wisconsin
Voters may finally be realizing that we are headed for a Joe Biden-Donald Trump rematch in November. Why? Well, the primary protest vote continues to slowly but steadily decline, as less disgruntled partisans show up to make their discontent heard. Biden and Trump both typically secure about 80% of their primary vote while Uncommitted and Nikki Haley respectively take about … [Read more...] about Presidential Protest Votes Dwindle As GOP Scores A Pair of Ballot Initiative Victories in Wisconsin
Missouri Republican Presidential Caucus
Missouri Republicans are meeting at caucus locations around the state today to choose who they think should be their party's presidential nominee. The caucus features former President Donald Trump and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley. Former President Trump notched another decisive victory over Haley earlier in the week in the Michigan primary. Former Governor Haley … [Read more...] about Missouri Republican Presidential Caucus