It's 79 days til election day and here is your Øptimus legislative model update. With less than 80 days left to go until Election Day, the general setup for the House and Senate continues to take form, with the House increasingly likely to change hands while the Senate remains favorable for Republicans. While there is still time left for this dynamic to significantly change, … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update August 20, 2018
House
Wyoming, From 2006 to Today
On Tuesday, voters in Wyoming will nominate candidates for state and Congressional elections. Popular incumbent governor Matt Mead (R) is prevented from running again due to term limits, guaranteeing an open-seat in the gubernatorial race. Wyoming is often seen (correctly) as one of the most staunchly Republican states in the country, and few - if any - of these races are … [Read more...] about Wyoming, From 2006 to Today
House District Spotlight: Iowa-3
Iowa's 3rd Congressional district - represented by David Young (R) since Tom Latham's retirement in 2014 - is one of the key districts to watch during the November midterms. This swingy R+1 district - encompassing Des Moines in the southwest corner of the state - voted for both Barack Obama and Donald Trump by 4-point margins. Despite its competitive appearance on paper, … [Read more...] about House District Spotlight: Iowa-3
Recapping Connecticut’s Primary Results
Tuesday night's Connecticut primary contests saw the nomination of candidates for two particularly notable races. First, incumbent Connecticut governor Dan Malloy is not seeking reelection in November. In the wake of chronic fiscal problems, Malloy has become toxically unpopular in the state. As a result, Republicans sensed an opportunity to seize the governor's mansion, … [Read more...] about Recapping Connecticut’s Primary Results
Recapping Wisconsin’s Primary Results
This week brought one of the final rounds of primaries heading into the fall election, with four states voting. Among those four was one of the Desk's favorites - Wisconsin. The Badger State has both a Senate and Gubernatorial race this year - interestingly, those races feature incumbents from opposite parties. In the Senate race, Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) is running for a … [Read more...] about Recapping Wisconsin’s Primary Results