What a difference a few weeks can make! On the eve of the debate, we wondered whether anything could happen to truly shake this race up. Since then, of course, all hell’s practically broken loose. Vance Wins the Veepstakes Let’s start with the latest news first: on Monday afternoon Donald Trump announced Ohio Senator J.D. Vance as his Vice Presidential nominee. The … [Read more...] about Trump Picks Vance for VP Nominee: The Latest Twist in This Historically Chaotic Election
2024 Elections
The Most Important Night of the 2024 Campaign: Examining the Background, Format and Stakes of the June 27th Presidential Debate
All of a sudden, the first 2024 Presidential debate is nearly upon us. Our earliest ever debate is coming at a time when this race is approaching an inflection point, with our own Decision Desk/The Hill average, the FiveThirtyEight average and the RealClearPolitics average all showing Trump ahead by less than a single point. Additionally, there’s considerable excitement … [Read more...] about The Most Important Night of the 2024 Campaign: Examining the Background, Format and Stakes of the June 27th Presidential Debate
Diving Into Tuesday’s Results: Dems Over-Perform in Ohio 6th Special, While Nancy Mace Prevails Over Primary Challenge
Another special Congressional election yields yet another Democratic overperformance. Let’s run through the results of Tuesday’s special Congressional election, as well as the day’s other consequential primary contests. Ohio While Republican candidate Michael Rulli won Tuesday’s race in Ohio’s 6th Congressional District, his margin was far behind the 35 points that … [Read more...] about Diving Into Tuesday’s Results: Dems Over-Perform in Ohio 6th Special, While Nancy Mace Prevails Over Primary Challenge
How the Trump Verdict is Shaping the Presidential Race and A Look Ahead at the Ohio 6th Special Election
There was yet another breaking development in the Presidential race, as a verdict was returned in Donald Trump’s NYC hush money trial. As you’ve no doubt heard by now, Trump was found guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records. Trump’s sentencing hearing is set for July 11th, just four days before the Republican National Convention begins in Milwaukee. Given that … [Read more...] about How the Trump Verdict is Shaping the Presidential Race and A Look Ahead at the Ohio 6th Special Election
2024 Senate Map Update: Dems Confront Formidable Landscape
It’s been six months since my last in-depth look at the Senate landscape, so it’s well past time for an update. At this point, most political observers put 24 of the 34 seats up for grabs in either the Safe Democratic or Safe Republican category. Among those safely red seats would be one flipped Democratic seat in West Virginia, where Joe Manchin is retiring. Consequently, … [Read more...] about 2024 Senate Map Update: Dems Confront Formidable Landscape