Welcome to Election Week 2022! With DDHQ being the only election return service to call control of both the House and Senate, we can start to draw some conclusions from the 2022 elections, and what they can tell us about the upcoming 2024 Presidential race. Let’s start with the incumbent President Joe Biden, who seemed headed for the kind of first midterm reckoning dealt … [Read more...] about How the 2022 Midterms Altered Biden’s and Trump’s 2024 Hopes
2022 Midterms
DDHQ’s 2022 Midterm Model: The Final Projections
Election day has arrived, and our final forecast for the 2022 midterms is here with the latest (and last) predictions for key congressional races and for House and Senate control. The 2022 cycle has been full of surprises, and here’s the state of the election according to DDHQ as voting concludes in every state. Final Senate Forecast Bottom-line: The Dem Senate majority … [Read more...] about DDHQ’s 2022 Midterm Model: The Final Projections
What to Watch: An Hour-By-Hour 2022 Election Night Guide
After two long years, we’re finally here. The 2022 midterms election cycle ends on Tuesday night. Results in 35 Senate elections, 39 Gubernatorial races, all 435 Congressional contests and down-ballot battles from every state will begin to flood into newsrooms across the world, including here at Decision Desk HQ. So which races should you be watching? Well, all of them. … [Read more...] about What to Watch: An Hour-By-Hour 2022 Election Night Guide
How Will the Death of Roe Affect Partisan Realignment in the 2022 Midterms?
Through the majority of the 2022 midterm election cycle, the Supreme Court's decision in Dobbs v. Jackson (overturning the longstanding precedent of Roe v. Wade) has dominated headlines and analysis. Although Democrats enjoyed a strong late summer bump, ostensibly fueled by the decision, GOP candidates have substantially gained in polling completed throughout October, in the … [Read more...] about How Will the Death of Roe Affect Partisan Realignment in the 2022 Midterms?
Where Biden Stands, Compared to His Predecessors, on the Eve of His First Midterm
It’s nearly that time again, as we’re less than two weeks away from the 2022 midterm elections. The reason we referred to them as midterms, of course, is that they occur at the midway point of each President’s term – effectively serving as a kind of exam to test each incumbent President. The conventional wisdom, then, is that the higher a President’s approval ratings, the … [Read more...] about Where Biden Stands, Compared to His Predecessors, on the Eve of His First Midterm