Decision Desk HQ

Elections Returns, Analysis and Projections

2020 President

Ossoff, Warnock and Padilla to be Sworn In to the Senate On Wednesday

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Several big developments could pave the way for three new Democratic Senators to take office shortly after President-elect Biden and Vice President-elect Harris are sworn in on Wednesday. According to Punchbowl News, Democrats Jon Ossoff (GA), Raphael Warnock (GA) and Alex Padilla (CA) are set to become the Senate's newest members as early as Inauguration Day. On Monday, … [Read more...] about Ossoff, Warnock and Padilla to be Sworn In to the Senate On Wednesday

2020 DDHQ/Øptimus Forecast Model- How Well Did We Do?

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LAST UPDATED: November 24th, 2020 Introduction In this post, we’ll be presenting a preliminary analysis of the DecisionDeskHQ/Øptimus forecast for the 2020 General Election (following on a similar analysis for the 2018 midterms). It’s been a riveting year for elections and forecasts across the board, and we’re happy with the model’s performance. Here’s an outline of what … [Read more...] about 2020 DDHQ/Øptimus Forecast Model- How Well Did We Do?

Election Postmortem

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I had planned to write my election wrap-up in the days following the election. But because there were so many uncalled states and races, I did not have enough information to form any thoughts. Two weeks have now passed since the election, and it has given me lots of time to look through election results and digest the outcome of several key races. So, with that said, here are … [Read more...] about Election Postmortem

DDHQ 2020 Election Forecast Featured in The Harvard Data Science Review

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This week The Harvard Data Science Review released its special edition on Predicting the 2020 Elections.  This peer-reviewed academic journal that covers the science of data looked at models from The Economist, Allan Lichtman as well as DDHQ's own 2020 Election Forecast. Liberty Vittert an editor of HDSR wrote - Øptimus, in collaboration with Decision Desk HQ, presents both … [Read more...] about DDHQ 2020 Election Forecast Featured in The Harvard Data Science Review

Trump to Make Stop In Increasingly Blue Rochester, MN

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This week, the Trump campaign announced that the candidate will make another stop in Minnesota to close out this week on Friday.  This time, the stop is scheduled to be in Rochester, which has quickly moved to the left over the past couple decades as the DFL has made gains among college educated white voters.  This city of Rochester has been voting much the same as the 3rd … [Read more...] about Trump to Make Stop In Increasingly Blue Rochester, MN