As the 2020 election approached, Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District seemed to be on the verge of a transformation. After all, the area was getting more and more progressive while being represented by an extremely conservative Congressman. As a result, prognosticators pegged PA-10 as the most flippable House seat in the state. Despite all that, GOP incumbent Rep. … [Read more...] about PA-10: An In-Depth Look at How Republican Scott Perry Won Re-Election
Rebuilding the Blue Wall: How Biden Flipped PA in 2020
2020 Presidential Results. Key: Navy – 65%+ Biden, Blue 60-64.9%, Royal Blue 55%-59.9%, Dodger Blue 50%-54.9%, Light Sky Blue <50%. Light Salmon <50% Trump, Coral 50%-54.9%, Orange Red 55%-59.9%, Red 60%-64.9%, Maroon 65%+. Ties are yellow. (All maps by Nick Field via Dave’s Redistricting) Joe Biden was succinct and to the point when describing his 2020 strategy to … [Read more...] about Rebuilding the Blue Wall: How Biden Flipped PA in 2020
The Histories and Legacies of the First Presidential Debates
Do presidential debates actually matter? Yes. Is the first debate typically the most important? Yes. That’s the simple conclusion one reaches when reviewing the history and impact of the first presidential debates in each election cycle. These events often have a lasting effect on how we view these candidates both in the moment and in hindsight. They also tend to … [Read more...] about The Histories and Legacies of the First Presidential Debates
Presidential Politics, Senate Elections, And Supreme Court Hearings
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is only the latest event to shake up the 2020 election. Within moments of the announcement of her passing, speculation ran rampant on how this suddenly open seat could affect the presidential race and the battle for the Senate majority. One aspect of this process that has flown under the radar, however, is the eventual … [Read more...] about Presidential Politics, Senate Elections, And Supreme Court Hearings
Trump’s Reelection Path Begins, And May End, In Florida
As we enter the post-Labor Day stretch of the presidential campaign, Joe Biden is currently ahead in all six swing states. There is one state that looms just a bit larger than the others, though, because for Donald Trump everything depends on Florida, a state the DDHQ/0ptimus forecast model moved from LEAN D to TOSS UP this week. Trump’s Special Connection With … [Read more...] about Trump’s Reelection Path Begins, And May End, In Florida