For the past few years, national Democrats have publicly bemoaned how increased education polarization has given Republicans a significant structural advantage in some governing bodies. As white voters without a bachelor’s degree in the Rust Belt shifted to the right, Republicans enjoyed a substantial positive bias in the Electoral College in 2016 and 2020 that seems likely to … [Read more...] about Abortion, Voting Rights, And The Wisconsin State Supreme Court—How Education Polarization is Starting to Help Democrats Too
US House
Election Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Primary, Virginia 4th Congressional District Special Election, and more
There are seven races we are tracking across the nation today. Voters in Wisconsin are heading to the polls to select who will make the general election ballot in a number of races, while voters in Virginia's 4th Congressional District are voting in the first federal election of the year. Kentucky and New Hampshire have special elections today as well. Wisconsin Conservative … [Read more...] about Election Results: Wisconsin Supreme Court Primary, Virginia 4th Congressional District Special Election, and more
DDHQ’s 2022 Forecasting Model Was Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
DDHQ’s election research on applications of correlated simulations was recently published in the Harvard Data Science Review. We figured out that with some minor mathematical simplification, we could simulate elections faster than we were previously able to. Our strategy for faster simulations was centered around the fact that it is much easier, computationally, for a computer … [Read more...] about DDHQ’s 2022 Forecasting Model Was Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
DDHQ Election Day Spotlight: Primaries in Illinois, New York, Colorado, Oklahoma, & Utah
Morning Headlines In the most expensive primary thus far through the 2022 election cycle, Southern Illinois State Senator Darren Bailey is heavily favored over Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin and Venture Capitalist Jesse Sullivan. Donald Trump visited Illinois this weekend and offered his endorsement of Bailey, attempting to counteract Hedge Fund Manager Ken Griffin's $50 … [Read more...] about DDHQ Election Day Spotlight: Primaries in Illinois, New York, Colorado, Oklahoma, & Utah
DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: Gillum Indicted, SCOTUS Rulings, & Gubernatorial Developments
Morning Headlines Former Mayor of Tallahassee and 2018 Democratic nominee for governor of Florida, Andrew Gillum, was indicted by a federal grand jury yesterday. The jury returned a 21 count indictment against Gillum for conspiracy, wire fraud, and making false statements related to his campaign. Gillum, 42, allegedly diverted money raised during his campaign -- which he … [Read more...] about DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: Gillum Indicted, SCOTUS Rulings, & Gubernatorial Developments