Off-cycle elections are not perfect predictors of a future election. A single data point with lower than average turnout is vulnerable to random and parochial local events. This holds true no matter the country. There were four United Kingdom constituency by-elections – the equivalent of a U.S. Congressional special election – in the past two months. The National Conservative … [Read more...] about The Peculiar Nature of Off-Cycle Elections in the United Kingdom
UK Election
#UK2019: What To Watch
Election night in the UK! Its got everything an election nerd wants for Christmas: Viral Commercials Beautiful (Math) Models Dogs at Polling Locations As per usual we got the insiders look at what to watch on election night. Instead of counties, its "constituencies" and we have figured out which ones to care about and when they report all in this doc right … [Read more...] about #UK2019: What To Watch