The second after Big Ben struck 10 pm in the UK last Thursday night, the blame game began in the Labour party. Why had the party, that had won three straight landslides with Tony Blair just 20 years ago, lost four straight elections? How had, not just the general population of the UK, but previously Safe Labour seats elected a Boris Johnson lead Tory government after 9 years of … [Read more...] about Both Jeremy Corbyn And Brexit Hurt The Labour Party In 2019 But Brexit Seems To Have Hurt It More
UK 2019 General Election
UK Election: The Disunited Kingdom
While the story of the UK Election is mostly in the results in England and Wales, the reason Boris Johnson has the majority he now has, the results in Scotland and Northern Ireland don’t match the national trend. And, perhaps more importantly, they may signal the end of the United Kingdom as it currently sits. We have to start with Scotland, and in doing so, appreciate that … [Read more...] about UK Election: The Disunited Kingdom
UK Election Postmortem: The Red Wall Broke
The British Conservatives won the 2019 UK election, achieving the majority Boris Johnson needs to continue in office and break the deadlock that consumed British governance in 2019. And they did so in a way that has a ton more consequences than just this Parliament. The Conservatives suffered 7 losses in Scotland, 2 to the Lib Dems, and 1 (Putney) to Labour. Given that, they … [Read more...] about UK Election Postmortem: The Red Wall Broke
UK Election: Takeaways From The Weekend’s Polling
There's been a rush of UK polling this weekend, as pollsters get polls out on the final weekend before voters go to the polls. There are plenty of takeaways from the data, but here are 5 main takeaways: The Labour Squeeze Has Stopped One of the arguments made in favour of the Labour Party's chance in this election was the fact that in 2017, Labour … [Read more...] about UK Election: Takeaways From The Weekend’s Polling
UK Election Reset: Tories Still Favourites
Forecasting any election is a challenge. There’s always a risk that analysts see what they expect to see and discount data points that contradict those expectations. We may be seeing the beginnings of that in the run up to next week’s UK elections. If it does happen, it won’t be the first time. During the BBC Election Night broadcast of 1992, Malcolm Rifkind, … [Read more...] about UK Election Reset: Tories Still Favourites