Three states completed their formal mapping processes in the two weeks since Decision Desk HQ last examined redistricting. Even more states began their process by publishing preliminary maps or proposals. State legislatures have sole power over redistricting in all five states examined today and in each state the party that controls the legislature chose protection of its … [Read more...] about Redistricting: It’s all About the Incumbents (GA, ME, NE, OR, TX)
TX
Texas House District 68 Special Election
Voters in Texas House District 68 are voting to replace Republican Drew Springer who was elected to the State Senate last month. Four Republicans and one Democrat are vying for the spot. If no candidate wins an outright majority the top two vote getters will meet in a runoff election for the seat. Polls close at 7pm central/8pm eastern. … [Read more...] about Texas House District 68 Special Election
Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (3/3)
A competitive race begets more competitive races. That is what happened in 2018 when Robert "Beto" O’Rourke lost the 2018 Senate race to Ted Cruz by under 3%. Democrats flipped two Congressional districts, two State Senate districts, 12 State Representative districts, and gave incumbent Republicans a scare in numerous others. Biden is presently polling competitively with Trump … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (3/3)
Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (2/3)
Updates to Part 1: We at DDHQ yesterday moved TX-06 to Likely R, and FiveThirtyEight moved TX-24 to Toss-Up. The NRCC announced they would spend an additional 772K on ads in TX-24. Robert "Beto" O’Rourke's 2018 political coalition shattered the Texas Republican Gerrymander. Districts designed to safely reelect incumbent Republicans became marginal races. … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (2/3)
Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (1/3)
Everything is bigger in Texas, including the list of battleground Congressional districts. Both parties are contesting seats in the Lone Star state, with varying degrees of success. Texas’s congressional map was not designed to be this competitive – only one seat of 36 was marginal in 2012. The Republican-controlled State Legislature carved up Democratic communities and paired … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (1/3)