Morning Headlines In the most expensive primary thus far through the 2022 election cycle, Southern Illinois State Senator Darren Bailey is heavily favored over Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin and Venture Capitalist Jesse Sullivan. Donald Trump visited Illinois this weekend and offered his endorsement of Bailey, attempting to counteract Hedge Fund Manager Ken Griffin's $50 … [Read more...] about DDHQ Election Day Spotlight: Primaries in Illinois, New York, Colorado, Oklahoma, & Utah
Predictions
DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: Primary Day in California & Six More States, PM Johnson Narrowly Survives Vote of No-Confidence
The midterm primary season continues today with California, Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Mexico, New Jersey, and South Dakota. Be sure to check out our preview looking at redistricting, important races to follow, and key counties to watch tonight. As always, you can find the most up-to-the-minute election results at results.decisiondeskHQ.com. Make sure you subscribe … [Read more...] about DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: Primary Day in California & Six More States, PM Johnson Narrowly Survives Vote of No-Confidence
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update November 5, 2018
On the eve of Election Day, there is a high likelihood of split chamber control of Congress once the dust settles. In the past week, the national environment shifted from D+7.9 to D+7.1 while presidential approval dipped to a net negative 14 points. It is a longshot for Republicans to keep the House, though Democrats do have a very narrow path to taking the Senate. Details … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update November 5, 2018
Presenting the 2018 Øptimus Gubernatorial (Polling) Model
As we head into the final weekend before Election Day, we're excited to reveal our gubernatorial probabilities. While we did not apply our House and Senate methodology to produce a full gubernatorial model, we wanted to release our take on where these races stood. We settled on a polling model, similar to what we use to input polling into our House and Senate models. Think of … [Read more...] about Presenting the 2018 Øptimus Gubernatorial (Polling) Model
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update November 2, 2018
As it was at the beginning of the week, the model is stable in the House and moved slightly towards Republicans in the Senate since Monday. The national environment shifted from D+7.9 compared to D+7. With just 8 days left until Election Day, we're predicting a strong possibility of split chamber control, with Democrats retaking the House but unable to retake the Senate. … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update November 2, 2018