Today, Ohioans are voting on a ballot question that aims to change the rules for all future ballot initiatives in the state. If it passes, this ballot initiative would increase the threshold to change the Ohio constitution to 60%. The current threshold is 50%+1. Additionally, if Issue 1 passes today, the process for gathering enough signatures for a future initiative to reach … [Read more...] about Election Results: Ohio Issue 1 and the Mississippi Primary
Ohio
Why Ohio’s Issue 1 Special Election is Taking Center Stage this August
Ohio is preparing for a Special Election on August 8th, a stage for the heavily publicized and costly battle around Issue 1. Backed by the Ohio state GOP, a YES vote on Issue 1 would increase the difficulty for Ohio voters to pass constitutional amendments through ballot questions, requiring 60% of voters to affirm a new constitutional amendment, an increase from the current … [Read more...] about Why Ohio’s Issue 1 Special Election is Taking Center Stage this August
Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms
The strength of education polarization broke historical precedent in 2022 US House races, overpowering “down-ballot lag,” which occurs when changes in partisan patterns appear first at the presidential level, to drive continued realignment during this midterm cycle. Education polarization drove rapid and notable realignment between the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections, and … [Read more...] about Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms
Democrats Boosted Matt Dolan’s OH GOP Senate Campaign in 2022
Matt Dolan formally announced his campaign to challenge Senator Sherrod Brown and become the next Republican Senator of Ohio on Tuesday. Ohio will be at the center of GOP attempts to flip the Senate in 2024, as Democrats are already on the brink of losing their majority. With vulnerable incumbents in the deep red states of Montana and West Virginia, Democrats will struggle to … [Read more...] about Democrats Boosted Matt Dolan’s OH GOP Senate Campaign in 2022
How Will the Death of Roe Affect Partisan Realignment in the 2022 Midterms?
Through the majority of the 2022 midterm election cycle, the Supreme Court's decision in Dobbs v. Jackson (overturning the longstanding precedent of Roe v. Wade) has dominated headlines and analysis. Although Democrats enjoyed a strong late summer bump, ostensibly fueled by the decision, GOP candidates have substantially gained in polling completed throughout October, in the … [Read more...] about How Will the Death of Roe Affect Partisan Realignment in the 2022 Midterms?