The strength of education polarization broke historical precedent in 2022 US House races, overpowering “down-ballot lag,” which occurs when changes in partisan patterns appear first at the presidential level, to drive continued realignment during this midterm cycle. Education polarization drove rapid and notable realignment between the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections, and … [Read more...] about Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms
Midterms
DDHQ’s 2022 Forecasting Model Was Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
DDHQ’s election research on applications of correlated simulations was recently published in the Harvard Data Science Review. We figured out that with some minor mathematical simplification, we could simulate elections faster than we were previously able to. Our strategy for faster simulations was centered around the fact that it is much easier, computationally, for a computer … [Read more...] about DDHQ’s 2022 Forecasting Model Was Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
Candidate Death Throws Pivotal Minnesota House Race Into Chaos… Again
Early voting has already begun in Minnesota, and for the second election cycle in a row, a deceased candidate will appear on the ballot in a key U.S. House race. What happened? Paula Overby, the Legal Marijuana Now Party candidate in the heated race for Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, died on Oct. 5 due to heart complications, according to her son. An official … [Read more...] about Candidate Death Throws Pivotal Minnesota House Race Into Chaos… Again
Election Results: Florida and New York Primaries, plus the Oklahoma Primary Runoffs
It’s Election Day in Florida, New York, and Oklahoma. DDHQ will have the most up-to-the-minute election results which you can find at results.decisiondeskHQ.com. Be sure to check out our preview looking at redistricting, important races to follow, and key counties to watch before polls close. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2TKFxo1RRfU Make sure you subscribe to the … [Read more...] about Election Results: Florida and New York Primaries, plus the Oklahoma Primary Runoffs
Election Results: Vermont, Connecticut, Wisconsin, and Minnesota Primaries
It’s Election Day in Vermont, Connecticut, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. DDHQ will have the most up-to-the-minute election results which you can find at results.decisiondeskHQ.com. Be sure to check out our preview looking at redistricting, important races to follow, and key counties to watch before polls close. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=obXW4hF9ORw Make sure you … [Read more...] about Election Results: Vermont, Connecticut, Wisconsin, and Minnesota Primaries