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educational polarization

Highly-Touted Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Set to Join 2024 Presidential Field

May 24, 2023 by Zachary Donnini

In a long-awaited moment, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis will announce his candidacy for President of the United States in a Twitter Space with Tesla and Twitter CEO Elon Musk at 7 pm ET tonight. Musk, one of the world’s richest men, has in the past said he would support DeSantis for President if he ran in 2024 but now says he won’t be endorsing anyone for President in … [Read more...] about Highly-Touted Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Set to Join 2024 Presidential Field

Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms

April 10, 2023 by Zachary Donnini

The strength of education polarization broke historical precedent in 2022 US House races, overpowering “down-ballot lag,” which occurs when changes in partisan patterns appear first at the presidential level, to drive continued realignment during this midterm cycle. Education polarization drove rapid and notable realignment between the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections, and … [Read more...] about Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms

There is a Lot At Stake in Today’s Wisconsin State Supreme Court Election

April 4, 2023 by Zachary Donnini

Liberals are poised to flip the Wisconsin State Supreme Court from years of conservative control. The 2023 retirement of conservative Justice Patience Roggensack leaves a 3-3 ideological split between the six remaining justices, meaning the election tonight to replace Roggensack will be decisive. Liberal Janet Protasiewicz faces conservative Dan Kelly in tonight’s general … [Read more...] about There is a Lot At Stake in Today’s Wisconsin State Supreme Court Election

Abortion, Voting Rights, And The Wisconsin State Supreme Court—How Education Polarization is Starting to Help Democrats Too

March 26, 2023 by Zachary Donnini

For the past few years, national Democrats have publicly bemoaned how increased education polarization has given Republicans a significant structural advantage in some governing bodies. As white voters without a bachelor’s degree in the Rust Belt shifted to the right, Republicans enjoyed a substantial positive bias in the Electoral College in 2016 and 2020 that seems likely to … [Read more...] about Abortion, Voting Rights, And The Wisconsin State Supreme Court—How Education Polarization is Starting to Help Democrats Too

The US House Was Biased Toward Democrats in 2022: Why Republicans Are Developing a Geography Problem

November 29, 2022 by Zachary Donnini

In the 2012 Presidential Election, Democrat Barack Obama decisively defeated Republican Mitt Romney. Obama won 332 electoral votes and the national Presidential popular vote by nearly 4%. Despite this crushing victory, Obama headed into his second term in office without a majority in the US House. House Republicans lost the popular vote by 1% but still won a 234-201 majority in … [Read more...] about The US House Was Biased Toward Democrats in 2022: Why Republicans Are Developing a Geography Problem

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