DDHQ’s election research on applications of correlated simulations was recently published in the Harvard Data Science Review. We figured out that with some minor mathematical simplification, we could simulate elections faster than we were previously able to. Our strategy for faster simulations was centered around the fact that it is much easier, computationally, for a computer … [Read more...] about DDHQ’s 2022 Forecasting Model Was Published in the Harvard Data Science Review
Congress
DDHQ Election Day Spotlight: Primaries in Illinois, New York, Colorado, Oklahoma, & Utah
Morning Headlines In the most expensive primary thus far through the 2022 election cycle, Southern Illinois State Senator Darren Bailey is heavily favored over Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin and Venture Capitalist Jesse Sullivan. Donald Trump visited Illinois this weekend and offered his endorsement of Bailey, attempting to counteract Hedge Fund Manager Ken Griffin's $50 … [Read more...] about DDHQ Election Day Spotlight: Primaries in Illinois, New York, Colorado, Oklahoma, & Utah
DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: Election Day Afternoon Edition
Morning Headlines The most high-profile race of the night is the Alabama Republican Senate runoff between Katie Britt and Mo Brooks. Brooks managed to beat out Michael Durant for second place in the initial primary results, but carried only 29.2% of the vote to Britt's 44.7%. In a now deleted tweet, Brooks begged Trump for re-endorsement after the primary, “Richard Burr … [Read more...] about DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: Election Day Afternoon Edition
DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: April 6, 2022
Good morning, and thank you for stopping by the DDHQ Morning News Spotlight. An 18-term Republican congressman who voted to impeach former President Trump has announced his retirement, and the Arizona Supreme Court has blocked a lawsuit that seeks to end early voting in the state. Morning Headlines US Rep. Fred Upton of Michigan announced his retirement from Congress. He … [Read more...] about DDHQ Morning News Spotlight: April 6, 2022
The Special Election Runoff in Texas’s Sixth Congressional District
The special election runoff for Texas’s Sixth Congressional district is a sleepier affair than most other special elections. Total turnout for the May blanket (all party) primary was 53K less than turnout for the special election in New Mexico’s First District despite TX-06 having over 100K more (ACS projected) residents than NM-01. Democratic voters and analysts lost interest … [Read more...] about The Special Election Runoff in Texas’s Sixth Congressional District