The strength of education polarization broke historical precedent in 2022 US House races, overpowering “down-ballot lag,” which occurs when changes in partisan patterns appear first at the presidential level, to drive continued realignment during this midterm cycle. Education polarization drove rapid and notable realignment between the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections, and … [Read more...] about Roe Overturn Led to Historic Realignment in 2022 Midterms
2022 House
How Democrats Managed to Avoid a Red Wave in the 2022 Midterms
The 2022 Midterms were exceptionally successful for Democrats as the party expanded their majority in the US Senate and only lost 9 seats in the US House. Democrats also won nearly every competitive gubernatorial election (including races in five states Donald Trump won in 2016—Kansas, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania) and flipped state legislative chambers in … [Read more...] about How Democrats Managed to Avoid a Red Wave in the 2022 Midterms