As we approach the 2-month mark until Election Day 2018, the Øptimus Model remains steady at the aggregate levels for both the House and Senate.
Republicans remain the strong favorites to retain control of the Senate, while Democrats are favored to take the House. With 7 Senate races in toss-up or lean territory, and the House even less solidified, the opportunity for something drastic or unexpected to occur is still a real possibility.
Details about the modeling can be found here and sign-up is free.
GOP chances of retaining the House: 28.1% (-0.71%) with a mean prediction of 213 GOP House Seats (218 for control).
GOP chances of retaining Senate: 83.6% (-1.41%) with a mean prediction of a 51-49 GOP majority.
Biggest House movers this week are in GA-07, AZ-01, NV-04, FL-16, KS-03 (details in links).
Biggest Senate movers this week are Indiana, Arizona, New Jersey, Florida, and Missouri (details in links).
