While we have our own House and Senate model, which currently give the Democrats an 80.13% chance of winning the former with 224 seats, and the Republicans an 84.77% chance of retaining the latter with 51 seats, it’s always good to get a second, third, and nth opinion.
So here is every public model’s current assessment of both chambers along with projected seat counts where available:
FIVE THIRTY EIGHT:
House– Democratic 81.9%, D seats 233
Senate– Republican 68.3%, R seats 51
THE CROSSTAB (from former contributor and friend of the Desk Elliott Morris): House- Democratic 77%, D seats 234
(no Senate model)
THE ECONOMIST: House- Democratic 71%, D seats 224
(no Senate model)
THE WEEKLY STANDARD/DAVID BYLER:
(no House model)
Senate- Republican 50.9%, R seats 50
(no House model) House Estimate: Democratic seats 209- Toss-up 30- Republican seats 206
(no Senate model) Senate Estimate: Democratic seats 43- Tossup 8- Republican seats 49
INSIDE ELECTIONS:
(no House model) House Estimate: Democratic seats 203- Toss-up 16- Republican seats 215**
(no Senate model) Senate Estimate: Democratic seats 45- Toss-up 5- Republican seats 50
SABATO’S CRYSTAL BALL:
(no House Model) House Estimate: Democratic seats 206-Toss-up 30- Republican seats 209**
(no House Model) Senate Estimate: Democratic seats 45- Toss-up 6-Republican seats 49
COOK POLITICAL REPORT:
(no House model) House Estimate: Democratic seats 192- Toss-up 42- Republican seats 201**
(no Senate model) Senate Estimate: Democratic seats 46-Toss-Up 6- Republican seats 48
CBS NEWS/YOUGOV:
(no House model) House Estimate: Democratic seats 221
(no Senate model) Senate Estimate: none yet published
**all prognosticator ratings are allocated to a party unless explicitly labeled a toss-up