Last week, we unveiled the beta release of our 2018 Election Forecasting Simulator. We've now enabled Senate functionality, giving you the ability to re-allocate money in the most visible races of the year. Can you concoct a scenario where Democrats would have actually been favorites to keep the Senate, or one in which Republicans have their own red wave to counter the … [Read more...] about 2018 Election Forecasting Simulator- Senate Update
Results
Georgia Secretary of State Runoff: Post-mortem
Last night, Georgia had it's final statewide election of the year. In November, State Rep. Brad Raffensperger (R) finished with 49.1% to ex-Rep. John Barrow's (D) 48.7% for Secretary of State. The balance went to a Libertarian. As Georgia is the only state that requires general election runoffs, the second round was held yesterday. Raffensperger, with the lean of the state … [Read more...] about Georgia Secretary of State Runoff: Post-mortem
2018 Midterm Forecasting model analysis- How well did we do?
UPDATE: The post below has been updated to reflect the Democratic flip of CA-21 and the results of the Mississippi special election. It is now up-to-date as of November 29th. Introduction The following document presents preliminary analysis of the performance of the Øptimus House and Senate models, as well as how they compare to other forecasting models and ratings. Overall, … [Read more...] about 2018 Midterm Forecasting model analysis- How well did we do?
DDHQ Election Night Viewing Guide: 9pm to 10pm Eastern
Just one more day and then all the campaigning, ads, and polling are over and we finally find out what's really going to happen. Our election night results site is now live. There are a lot of great options and information for you to use, so take some time prior to Tuesday to familiarize yourself with all the features. You can have complete access just by signing up for a … [Read more...] about DDHQ Election Night Viewing Guide: 9pm to 10pm Eastern
DDHQ’s Guide To Watching Election Night Part I: 6pm-7:30pm Eastern
We're less than a week away until Election Day 2018 and the sheer number of races in play can be overwhelming. Our election night results site is now live. There are a lot of great options and information for you to use, so take some time prior to Tuesday to familiarize yourself with all the features. You can have complete access just by signing up for a free account right … [Read more...] about DDHQ’s Guide To Watching Election Night Part I: 6pm-7:30pm Eastern