Updates to Part 1: We at DDHQ yesterday moved TX-06 to Likely R, and FiveThirtyEight moved TX-24 to Toss-Up. The NRCC announced they would spend an additional 772K on ads in TX-24. Robert "Beto" O’Rourke's 2018 political coalition shattered the Texas Republican Gerrymander. Districts designed to safely reelect incumbent Republicans became marginal races. … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (2/3)
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Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (1/3)
Everything is bigger in Texas, including the list of battleground Congressional districts. Both parties are contesting seats in the Lone Star state, with varying degrees of success. Texas’s congressional map was not designed to be this competitive – only one seat of 36 was marginal in 2012. The Republican-controlled State Legislature carved up Democratic communities and paired … [Read more...] about Competitive Congressional Races in the Lone Star State (1/3)
Senate GOP Sees Rare Offensive Opportunity in Michigan
Senate Republicans are largely on the defensive this cycle. With several Republican incumbents trailing in both fundraising and in polling, a Senate race in the Great Lake State has presented them with a rare offensive opportunity. In Michigan, first-term Democratic Sen. Gary Peters is running for a second term. He was first elected in the 2014 midterm elections. A former … [Read more...] about Senate GOP Sees Rare Offensive Opportunity in Michigan
The 10 Senate Seats Most Likely to Flip
Between a contentious Supreme Court nomination battle and record-breaking fundraising hauls, the battle for control of the U.S. Senate is kicking into high gear in the final weeks of the campaign. While Democrats are bracing for a loss in a deep red state, they have also began expanding their list of offensive targets, with Democratic candidates in Republican leaning states … [Read more...] about The 10 Senate Seats Most Likely to Flip
Competitive Seats: California 25
Democratic insiders did not expect to lose the 2020 special election for California’s 25th district. Since 2016, the presidential topline, voter registration statistics, and the demographic makeup of CA-25’s voter pool increasingly favor the Democratic party. Republican Mike Garcia navigated his way to a special election victory, but he faces significant obstacles to winning a … [Read more...] about Competitive Seats: California 25