NY-19 is something of a white while for Democrats. On paper, it’s a district that seems fairly even (Cook Political Report rates it R +2). In 2012, Barack Obama won it by 6% while in 2016 Donald Trump carried by basically the same margin for roughly a 12 point swing. When the current district was drawn following the 2010 reapportionment process, then freshman (and now … [Read more...] about House District Spotlight: NY-19
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Massachusetts Primary Wrap Up: Upset In The 7th District
On a night in Massachusetts when most races went as expected, Boston City Councilwoman Ayanna Pressley upset 10 term incumbent Michael Capuano to secure the Democratic nomination to the state’s 7th Congressional District. As there is no Republican candidate in the overwhelmingly Democratic district, Pressley is all but assured to be elected in November. In doing so she will be … [Read more...] about Massachusetts Primary Wrap Up: Upset In The 7th District
Massachusetts Primary Preview
[Editor's Note: Polls close at 8pm eastern. DDHQ county level results can be found here.] Massachusettsians will head to the polls on Tuesday to vote in one of this year's final primary elections. The top of the ballot is dominated by the gubernatorial race. However, incumbent Governor Charlie Baker (R) is one of the most popular governors in the country - with … [Read more...] about Massachusetts Primary Preview
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 3, 2018
With 9 weeks to go until Election Day, our model displays a continuing shift towards Democratic chances in the House while the Senate moves more modestly towards Democrats as well. The big takeaway this week is that 4 House races (WA08, KS03, MN03, OH12) moved 3% or more away from the GOP as Democratic IE spending started pouring in. The generic ballot national environment … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 3, 2018
Washington 8th’s District – Primary Results
One state that had primaries in August was Washington. The Senate race should be pretty secure for the Democrats, the state will feature a few competitive House races. While some Washington Congressional races have popped up on the radar relatively recently - namely WA-03 and WA-05 - both parties have been eyeing WA-08 for about a year. Washington's 8th District takes in … [Read more...] about Washington 8th’s District – Primary Results