Decision Desk HQ

Elections Returns, Analysis and Projections

House

Forecaster and model assessments of the House and Senate

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While we have our own House and Senate model, which currently give the Democrats an 80.13% chance of winning the former with 224 seats, and the Republicans an 84.77% chance of retaining the latter with 51 seats, it's always good to get a second, third, and nth opinion. So here is every public model's current assessment of both chambers along with projected seat counts where … [Read more...] about Forecaster and model assessments of the House and Senate

Rhode Island Primary Preview

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Fourty-seven states down, two to go in primary 2018. Tonight, it's Rhode Island's turn. The state has been lopsidedly Democratic in the Presidential vote for decades, but it elected Republican Governors for twelve straight years until 2010, and its First Congressional District, represented by Democrat David Cicilline, was competitive that same year. For most contests, the … [Read more...] about Rhode Island Primary Preview

First in the Presidential, Near Last in the State Primaries: New Hampshire Preview

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Something Different For Decision Desk HQ Readers Tonight In New Hampshire: Look, you are going to read plenty of race previews for New Hampshire, if you're that big of an election junkie. So let's get right to the real exciting element about today: live precinct-level interactive returns for both competitive primaries in the 1st Congressional District. We selected this … [Read more...] about First in the Presidential, Near Last in the State Primaries: New Hampshire Preview

Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 10, 2018

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With less than 2 months until Election Day, our model continues to shift towards Democratic control in the House while holding steady on Republican chances in the Senate. The generic ballot national environment generates most of the aggregate shift this week, with polling coming into play in individual seats. Overall, Republicans remain strong favorites to retain control of the … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 10, 2018

Analyzing Delaware’s State Legislature Post-Primary

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Now that the great state of Delaware has finished their primaries, DecisionDeskHQ is able to rate their state legislatures. Though Democrats could have lost control of the State Senate back in February 2017 during a special election, they are certain to hold onto the majority in not just the upper chamber, but the lower chamber as well. Here are our ratings for both … [Read more...] about Analyzing Delaware’s State Legislature Post-Primary