Fourty-seven states down, two to go in primary 2018. Tonight, it's Rhode Island's turn. The state has been lopsidedly Democratic in the Presidential vote for decades, but it elected Republican Governors for twelve straight years until 2010, and its First Congressional District, represented by Democrat David Cicilline, was competitive that same year. For most contests, the … [Read more...] about Rhode Island Primary Preview
House
First in the Presidential, Near Last in the State Primaries: New Hampshire Preview
Something Different For Decision Desk HQ Readers Tonight In New Hampshire: Look, you are going to read plenty of race previews for New Hampshire, if you're that big of an election junkie. So let's get right to the real exciting element about today: live precinct-level interactive returns for both competitive primaries in the 1st Congressional District. We selected this … [Read more...] about First in the Presidential, Near Last in the State Primaries: New Hampshire Preview
Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 10, 2018
With less than 2 months until Election Day, our model continues to shift towards Democratic control in the House while holding steady on Republican chances in the Senate. The generic ballot national environment generates most of the aggregate shift this week, with polling coming into play in individual seats. Overall, Republicans remain strong favorites to retain control of the … [Read more...] about Øptimus Legislative Model: Update September 10, 2018
Analyzing Delaware’s State Legislature Post-Primary
Now that the great state of Delaware has finished their primaries, DecisionDeskHQ is able to rate their state legislatures. Though Democrats could have lost control of the State Senate back in February 2017 during a special election, they are certain to hold onto the majority in not just the upper chamber, but the lower chamber as well. Here are our ratings for both … [Read more...] about Analyzing Delaware’s State Legislature Post-Primary
House District Spotlight: NY-19
NY-19 is something of a white while for Democrats. On paper, it’s a district that seems fairly even (Cook Political Report rates it R +2). In 2012, Barack Obama won it by 6% while in 2016 Donald Trump carried by basically the same margin for roughly a 12 point swing. When the current district was drawn following the 2010 reapportionment process, then freshman (and now … [Read more...] about House District Spotlight: NY-19