Arizona is a frontline battleground state at every level of government. Prognosticators agree that Biden and Trump are in a close race for Arizona’s eleven electoral votes, albeit one with a consistent Biden lead in polling. We perceive Arizona’s Senate race as less competitive than the presidential topline, but this is because Democratic nominee Mark Kelly pushed the seat … [Read more...] about Swing Seats: Arizona 6
House
Swing Seats: Iowa 2
No major election rating site considered Iowa’s Second Congressional District, represented by five-term Democratic incumbent Dave Loebsack, a battleground in 2016. In contrast, Iowa’s First, the district directly north of IA-02 held by freshman Republican Rod Blum, was expected to be a close race. All election ratings sites viewed IA-01 as a Toss Up race, except Sabato’s … [Read more...] about Swing Seats: Iowa 2
Meet the Next Members of the U.S. House from Safe Seats (Part 2/2)
The new year will bring a new class of freshman lawmakers to the U.S. Capitol. Here is a look at the congressional candidates who are overwhelming favorites to be elected to Congress in November. Each are running in districts that are rated as Safe for their party by the forecasters at Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. These candidates either won primaries for open seats or defeated … [Read more...] about Meet the Next Members of the U.S. House from Safe Seats (Part 2/2)
Meet the Next Members of the U.S. House from Safe Seats (Part 1/2)
The new year will bring a new class of freshman lawmakers to the U.S. Capitol. Here is a look at the congressional candidates who are overwhelming favorites to be elected to Congress in November. Each are running in districts that are rated as Safe for their party by the forecasters at Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. These candidates either won primaries for open seats or defeated … [Read more...] about Meet the Next Members of the U.S. House from Safe Seats (Part 1/2)
Swing Seats: Indiana 5
No Democratic presidential candidate has won Hamilton County, the suburban county just north of Indianapolis, since 1916. Hamilton County has anchored congressional districts since the Voting Rights Act established “One Man, One-Vote,” and today has about 40% of IN-05’s residents. None of these modern congressional districts based out of Hamilton County have ever sent a … [Read more...] about Swing Seats: Indiana 5