Decision Desk HQ is covering all of this year's Gubernatorial elections along with federal specials. 4/30/2019- North Carolina 3rd Congressional District Special Election Primaries The race to replace the late Rep. Walter Jones is a crowded one, with seventeen Republicans and six Democrats facing off in their respective primaries. If no candidate crosses 30%, second place … [Read more...] about Updates on Upcoming Elections
Governor
Michigan 2018: Democrats Fix Their Road to Lansing
After a lackluster showing throughout the region in 2014, Democrats picked up a trio of Governorships in the Great Lakes states in 2018. Two of these states (Illinois & Wisconsin) were gained by defeating Republican incumbents while one, Michigan, was an open contest. Long mentioned as a candidate for statewide office, Democrats ran Gretchen Whitmer for Governor. … [Read more...] about Michigan 2018: Democrats Fix Their Road to Lansing
Georgia Secretary of State Runoff: Post-mortem
Last night, Georgia had it's final statewide election of the year. In November, State Rep. Brad Raffensperger (R) finished with 49.1% to ex-Rep. John Barrow's (D) 48.7% for Secretary of State. The balance went to a Libertarian. As Georgia is the only state that requires general election runoffs, the second round was held yesterday. Raffensperger, with the lean of the state … [Read more...] about Georgia Secretary of State Runoff: Post-mortem
Uncalled Races Update
As of this writing, DDHQ has not called four House contests: CALIFORNIA-39 GEORGIA-07 TEXAS-23 UTAH-04 California's 39th remains uncalled due to the outstanding vote count. Republican Young Kim sported a lead on election night, but that has evaporated entirely as the mail-in ballot count stretched into its second week. She now narrowly trails Democratic candidate … [Read more...] about Uncalled Races Update
Presenting the 2018 Øptimus Gubernatorial (Polling) Model
As we head into the final weekend before Election Day, we're excited to reveal our gubernatorial probabilities. While we did not apply our House and Senate methodology to produce a full gubernatorial model, we wanted to release our take on where these races stood. We settled on a polling model, similar to what we use to input polling into our House and Senate models. Think of … [Read more...] about Presenting the 2018 Øptimus Gubernatorial (Polling) Model