When Election Twitter explores the result of a special or regular election, comparisons to previous elections inevitably arise, as this niche world obsessed with numbers attempts to deduce what has changed, and, for the multitude of partisans involved, which side benefited from the race. Someone unfamiliar with the particularities of contests may just assume that the party … [Read more...] about The Baseline Problem
Analysis
Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Preview
Note: Supreme Court elections in Wisconsin are officially nonpartisan, but they have seen some of the fiercest ideological fights in the state, and activists on the left and right, along with their political party counterparts, have spent incredible time, energy and money on most contests since the late aughts. I will therefore describe justices in “liberal” and “conservative” … [Read more...] about Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Preview
Chicago Mayoral Election – Precinct analysis and looking ahead to the runoff
On Tuesday, Chicago held the first round of their mayoral election. DDHQ extensively covered the election, including posting a nifty precinct-level map of results. The map features not just this week's results, but also some overlap maps of socioeconomic factors. Precinct-Level Results Lightfoot- Blue Preckwinkle- Green Daley- Red Wilson- Yellow Mendoza- … [Read more...] about Chicago Mayoral Election – Precinct analysis and looking ahead to the runoff