Compared to Hillary Clinton's anemic support in Western Wisconsin, Judge Lisa Neubauer did well. But in the Milwaukee suburbs that had seemed to sour on Republicans in 2018, she fell far short. While we're waiting for our own Miles Coleman to parse through the precinct data from last night's contests for some excellent maps, let's go over what happened last night in … [Read more...] about A Quick Update on Wisconsin
Analysis
Why Donald Trump Is Heading To Western Michigan Next Week (It’s Not About His Base)
President Donald Trump carried Michigan by less than 12,000 votes in 2016, and did so mainly on a massive shift among whites without a college degree. His performance in suburban areas, particularly those populated mostly by whites with a college degree, dipped notably from Mitt Romney's, and this held true throughout the state. He also benefited from a drop in participation … [Read more...] about Why Donald Trump Is Heading To Western Michigan Next Week (It’s Not About His Base)
A Critical State Senate Election Special is Coming in Pennsylvania
Today's guest post is by Jeff Ditzler, longtime DDHQ election data gatherer. He continues an earlier exploration of Pennsylvania contests with a review of the upcoming special election in SD-37. In a previous piece, I detailed the bumper crop of special elections occurring in Pennsylvania this spring: one for Congress, three for the state Senate, and at least two for the … [Read more...] about A Critical State Senate Election Special is Coming in Pennsylvania
Election Night Recap for 3/19/2019
Between federal and major statewide contests, the various contributors to DDHQ keep their eyes on local elections and specials. Here's a rundown of the major ones from last night. Jacksonville- Municipal Elections The top of the ticket wasn't even contested this go-around, in stark contrast to the 2015 race which saw Republican Lenny Curry narrowly defeat … [Read more...] about Election Night Recap for 3/19/2019
Noah Rudnick’s Hot Seat: NY-03
New York’s Third Congressional District is a surprisingly competitive seat: Democratic Presidential candidates consistently win it by small margins and down ballot contests can get close even with token opposition. Two-term incumbent Tom Suozzi faces broadside attacks and scandals from home, granting an opening for either a Republican or progressive insurgent to hammer … [Read more...] about Noah Rudnick’s Hot Seat: NY-03