Despite the inconclusive final results of the Iowa Caucus, the train keeps rolling on, with Tuesday’s New Hampshire Primary. Bernie Sanders is the clear favorite, leading every poll released this week by at least 4%, with Monmouth showing a 24%-20% race between Sanders and Pete Buttigieg, and Emerson and Suffolk’s most recent tracking poll data showing 10%, and 6%, leads … [Read more...] about Good Bye Iowa, Hello New Hampshire: Sanders Leading, Pete Surging, Biden Fading
Analysis
Both Jeremy Corbyn And Brexit Hurt The Labour Party In 2019 But Brexit Seems To Have Hurt It More
The second after Big Ben struck 10 pm in the UK last Thursday night, the blame game began in the Labour party. Why had the party, that had won three straight landslides with Tony Blair just 20 years ago, lost four straight elections? How had, not just the general population of the UK, but previously Safe Labour seats elected a Boris Johnson lead Tory government after 9 years of … [Read more...] about Both Jeremy Corbyn And Brexit Hurt The Labour Party In 2019 But Brexit Seems To Have Hurt It More
UK Election: The Disunited Kingdom
While the story of the UK Election is mostly in the results in England and Wales, the reason Boris Johnson has the majority he now has, the results in Scotland and Northern Ireland don’t match the national trend. And, perhaps more importantly, they may signal the end of the United Kingdom as it currently sits. We have to start with Scotland, and in doing so, appreciate that … [Read more...] about UK Election: The Disunited Kingdom
UK Election Postmortem: The Red Wall Broke
The British Conservatives won the 2019 UK election, achieving the majority Boris Johnson needs to continue in office and break the deadlock that consumed British governance in 2019. And they did so in a way that has a ton more consequences than just this Parliament. The Conservatives suffered 7 losses in Scotland, 2 to the Lib Dems, and 1 (Putney) to Labour. Given that, they … [Read more...] about UK Election Postmortem: The Red Wall Broke
Wisconsin 2019 Supreme Court By Municipality (Part 1)
In one of this week's marquee contests, conservatives managed to flip a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, Brian Hagedorn upset Lisa Neubauer by just about 6,000 votes. Thanks in large part to the work of Decision Desk HQ's reporters, I've broken down the court race by municipality. As usual, Hagedorn won by carrying much of the state's geographic area, though … [Read more...] about Wisconsin 2019 Supreme Court By Municipality (Part 1)