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Analysis

Maybe Biden Can Actually Win *More* White Working Class Voters

April 27, 2020 by Robert Martin

After the 2016, many different media narratives came from the (somewhat) unpredictable results of election night. Some people believed the Democrats lost because Clinton was deeply unpopular, and could not connect to average voters. Some people believed that Trump had unlocked a populist core in America, which he could ride to power indefinitely. Others (like myself) believed … [Read more...] about Maybe Biden Can Actually Win *More* White Working Class Voters

Beware Of The Tea Leaves, Wisconsin Wrap Up

April 15, 2020 by Brandon Finnigan

On Monday, the results of the April 7th Spring Election and Presidential primary were revealed, county by county, as dictated by court order. For real political junkies the action wasn’t the Presidential primaries as they have already been decided, but rather the state’s infamously partisan Supreme Court elections. Judge Jill Karofsky defeated incumbent Justice Daniel Kelly by … [Read more...] about Beware Of The Tea Leaves, Wisconsin Wrap Up

Queensland By-Elections, Demographics, and Trump’s Chances Of Re-Election

March 24, 2020 by Drew McCoy

This upcoming Saturday, voters in two of the Australian State of Queensland will go to the polls for by-elections to replace resigned members. These byelections, just months before the scheduled state election, are an interesting test for both the Queensland government, but also for a theory of politics that extends far past the borders of Queensland. Starting with the … [Read more...] about Queensland By-Elections, Demographics, and Trump’s Chances Of Re-Election

The GOP’s Best Hope At Holding The Senate? Triage

March 20, 2020 by Drew McCoy

With Thursday’s release of a Public Policy Polling poll from Montana showing a tied race in Montana’s Senate race between Republican incumbent Senator Steve Daines and incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Bullock, we finally have a poll from most every competitive Senate race in 2020. The Democrats need four gains, given Alabama will go to the GOP, to get to a 50/50 tie, where … [Read more...] about The GOP’s Best Hope At Holding The Senate? Triage

Pete Buttigieg Has Dropped Out – What Next?

March 2, 2020 by Evan Scrimshaw

Pete Buttigieg has decided to end his campaign for President, signaling the true beginning of the winnowing of the field for President. Pete, the former Mayor of South Bend. Indiana has become a national figure in this campaign, even if his departure means he will not be able to perform the political miracle that winning the nomination from his position would have represented. … [Read more...] about Pete Buttigieg Has Dropped Out – What Next?

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