Saturday saw the first results come in of the Democratic Caucuses come in. While we don’t yet have complete figures, or full delegate allocations, we do have some things we learned from the results tonight. Sanders Didn’t Underperform Having final numbers would be good here, if only so we could truly estimate the size of the win versus the polls, but what is … [Read more...] about Nevada Caucuses: What We Learned
2020 President
Nevada Democratic Caucus Results
All results are provided by the Nevada State Democratic Party We will also be providing an estimate of national delegates. … [Read more...] about Nevada Democratic Caucus Results
Sanders Is Surging; Is It Over?
On Tuesday, five national Democratic Primary polls were released, all showing one thing - a big Bernie Sanders lead. Despite the fact Sanders is only on 29% per the LeanTossup National Average, he is in the driver’s seat of the primary, forecast for 1816 delegates per the LeanTossup model. And while the model still believes no candidate getting a majority is the likeliest … [Read more...] about Sanders Is Surging; Is It Over?
Chaos Is The Current Frontrunner In The Democratic Primary And It’s Not Looking To Lose Its Lead Anytime Soon
When I started building the LeanTossup Democratic Primary model for our site in the spring of 2019, I decided to add a pie chart to show the odds that no candidate would win a majority of pledged delegates (a Contested Convention). I asked twitter to vote in a poll on their preferred labels for the “Odds of a Contested Convention” graph; either “Yes/No” or “Everything is … [Read more...] about Chaos Is The Current Frontrunner In The Democratic Primary And It’s Not Looking To Lose Its Lead Anytime Soon
DDHQ/UVA Crystal Ball Democratic Delegate Count – February 11th Update
This year, DecisionDeskHQ is partnering with UVA's Center for Politics Crystal Ball to provide fast and accurate delegate counts for the Democratic nomination as the primaries and caucuses play out. Our update today covers the first two contests, Iowa and New Hampshire. UPDATE SUMMARY For nearly a week after the conclusion of the Iowa Caucuses, we held off on counting IA … [Read more...] about DDHQ/UVA Crystal Ball Democratic Delegate Count – February 11th Update