Here are the results of the high quality, live caller national polls, that have been released in the two weeks since news of the death of George Floyd at the hands of police in Minneapolis, MN and the nationwide protests against racism and police brutality: Joe Biden +14% (CNN/SSRS), 11% Biden lead (Monmouth), and a pair of 7% leads (NBC/WSJ and NPR/Marist). Morning Consult is … [Read more...] about Post Protest Polling Favors Joe Biden
2020 President
Donald Trump Should Forget Texas
Politics Twitter was shocked last week to see a Quinnipiac poll of Texas, at State Trump won 9 points in 2016, as a tossup, with a one point Trump lead. While many people couldn’t believe the result, it’s right in line with what the LeanTossup model has in Texas, and confirms our broader theory of the election: Biden has drawn back some amount of white non-College voters back … [Read more...] about Donald Trump Should Forget Texas
Joe Biden Clinches Democratic Presidential Nomination With Victory In U.S. Virgin Islands Democratic Primary.
Former Vice President Joe Biden has won the U.S. Virgin Islands Democratic Presidential Primary and all seven of the delegates at stake. With that victory he has now reached the 1,991 delegate required to win the Democratic Presidential Nomination in the Decision Desk HQ/University At Virginia Center For Politics Delegate Count. … [Read more...] about Joe Biden Clinches Democratic Presidential Nomination With Victory In U.S. Virgin Islands Democratic Primary.
Joe Biden’s Increasing Support From Hispanic Voters
After much talk of Joe Biden's campaign being unable to get much traction with Hispanic voters - and consequently polls showing him doing somewhere between mildly and much worse with Hispanics than Hillary Clinton did - Biden seems to have figured out his Hispanic problems, and he's done so in a big way. Per three recent National polls - conducted by Optimus, YouGov, and the … [Read more...] about Joe Biden’s Increasing Support From Hispanic Voters
Swing State Polling Shows Trump Is Losing Badly
A series of six polls released on Thursday show Joe Biden ahead in every state, with swings to him from Hillary Clinton's 2016 performance ranging from 3% in Florida to 11% in Wisconsin. And, fundamentally, the election is over if this happens. How likely it is to happen is an entirely separate and distinct question which is up for debate, but nobody should be in any doubt … [Read more...] about Swing State Polling Shows Trump Is Losing Badly