New York’s Third Congressional District is a surprisingly competitive seat: Democratic Presidential candidates consistently win it by small margins and down ballot contests can get close even with token opposition. Two-term incumbent Tom Suozzi faces broadside attacks and scandals from home, granting an opening for either a Republican or progressive insurgent to hammer … [Read more...] about Noah Rudnick’s Hot Seat: NY-03
A DIME’s Worth of Moderation
The clash between ideological sides within each party is often focused on the direction of where to move the party, but some energy focuses on electability. Moderates claim that they appeal to the center and scoop up more voters, while those that are more ideologically homogenous claim that they alone excite new voters, as their positions are the true popular ones. There is an … [Read more...] about A DIME’s Worth of Moderation
A Look at Money in the Midterms
With $1.75 billion spent in the House this cycle, I looked at some of the most extreme stats that popped out at me, from high spenders to the most efficient campaigns. First up is wine distributor David Trone in Maryland’s 6th, who outspent his opponent by $15.9 million, more than the 62 cheapest House races combined. After spending $12 million in 2016 just to lose in a … [Read more...] about A Look at Money in the Midterms
The Hot Seat: Arizona’s 2nd
Arizona’s 2nd has suffered an acute case of whiplash, going from one of the most competitive seats to a secured Republican victory in 2016, and now looking to zoom back to a comfortable Democratic win in 2018. While most of the handicappers rate this at least Leans Dem, and may move leftward before the election, this analysis will not dispute that but instead look at how a … [Read more...] about The Hot Seat: Arizona’s 2nd
The Hot Seat: a Review of New Jersey’s 7th District
New Jersey’s 7th district is a precarious one for Republicans: a blue-shifting seat in what appears to be a decently favorable cycle to Democrats. While longtime moderate Republican incumbents Frank LoBiondo and district neighbor Rodney Frelinghuysen bailed out, Leonard Lance remained in for the fight of his political life. Indeed, his seat could be one of the first to flip, … [Read more...] about The Hot Seat: a Review of New Jersey’s 7th District